Wind power forecasting by an empirical model using NWP outputs

Autoři: prof. Ing. Emil Pelikán, CSc.
RNDr. Kryštof Eben, CSc.
RNDr. Jaroslav Resler, Ph.D.
Pavel Juruš
Mgr. Pavel Krč, Ph.D.
Ing. Marek Brabec, PhD.
Tomáš Brabec
Rok vydání: 2010
Typ publikace: Konferenční příspěvek (mezinárodní konf.)
Periodikum: Environment and Electrical Engineering
Bibliografická citace: PELIKÁN, Emil, EBEN, Kryštof, RESLER, Jaroslav, JURUŠ, Pavel, KRČ, Pavel, BRABEC, Marek, BRABEC, Tomáš, MUSÍLEK, P. Wind power forecasting by an empirical model using NWP outputs. In: JANIK, P., LEHMANN, D., LEONOWICZ, Z., SCHWARZ, H., eds. Environment and Electrical Engineering. Piscataway: IEEE, 2010, S. 45-48. ISBN 978-1-4244-5370-2
Dostupné z: doi:10.1109/EEEIC.2010.5490019
DOI: 10.1109/EEEIC.2010.5490019
ID: 350321

Abstrakt

This paper presents a simple and robust wind power forecasting approach using inputs from a state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction models (NWP) with mesoscale resolution. The model can be used for short-term and longer term forecasting horizon up to 72 hours ahead. The forecasting ability of the presented approach is demonstrated using real power production data from the Czech Republic.