Statistical Modeling of Energy Production by Photovoltaic Farms

Autoři: Ing. Marek Brabec, PhD.
prof. Ing. Emil Pelikán, CSc.
Mgr. Pavel Krč, Ph.D.
RNDr. Kryštof Eben, CSc.
Rok vydání: 2010
Typ publikace: Konferenční příspěvek (mezinárodní konf.)
Periodikum: Electrical Power and Energy Conference "Sustainable Energy for an Intelligent Grid"
Bibliografická citace: BRABEC, Marek, PELIKÁN, Emil, KRČ, Pavel, EBEN, Kryštof, MUSÍLEK, P. Statistical Modeling of Energy Production by Photovoltaic Farms. In: Electrical Power and Energy Conference "Sustainable Energy for an Intelligent Grid". Piscataway: IEEE, 2010, S. 1-6. ISBN 978-1-4244-8186-6
Dostupné z: doi:10.1109/EPEC.2010.5697249
DOI: 10.1109/EPEC.2010.5697249
ID: 346898

Abstrakt

This paper introduces several alternative statistical approaches to modeling and prediction of electric energy generated by photovoltaic farms. The statistical models use outputs of a numerical weather prediction model as their inputs. Presented statistical models allow for easy-to-compute predictions, both in temporal sense and for out-of-sample individual farms. Model performance is illustrated on a sample of real photovoltaic farms located in the Czech Republic.